The climate vulnerability and risk assessment (VA) in the landscape of Kendari City and South Konawe District was developed as a basis for the climate adaptation strategy and strengthening landscape resilience to climate risks and hydrometeorological hazards. This study can also be used as an input for further site selection to strengthen community resilience to climate change and
disaster.
The methodology used in this study refers to the Forestry and Environmental Ministry regulation (Permen KLHK) No. 33, 2016 on guidelines for the development of climate change adaptation action, and to the Indonesian National Board for Disaster Management (BNPB) regulation (PERKABNBP) No. 2, 2012 on general guideline for disaster risk assessment. This report also adapts the method used by KLHK in risk assessment and climate change adaptation study (KRAPI), in 2012. In addition, this report uses dynamic risk analysis method to make a comparison between the current risk and future risk (within the next 30 years).
This is a participatory study conducted through consultations with experts and stakeholders. A series of three workshops were carried out, all of them involving OPDs (local government bodies) province level representatives, as well as national /vertical agencies such as Climate and Geophysics Agency (BMKG), Regional Watershed & River Management Agency (BPDAS & BWS), some NGOs, Women’s Associations, Universities, Media and the Private Sector. The climate risks were discussed in a participatory manner, where any data and information related to the vulnerability and hazard was collected and gathered from the participants in all of those workshops. Experts from local universities were ivolved as resource people to provide inputs on methodology and their expert judgement.
The VA process started by choosing sectors/ fields of study based on analysis to find out which of them had significant contribution to the gross regional domestic product (PDRB), and also suffered or had most risk to the climate change. There are five selected sectors/fields for this landscape, which are disaster management (flood and landslide), fisheries, agricultures, land transportation, and clean water. The process then continued with hazard analysis, vulnerability analysis and risk analysis based on those selected sectors/fields as well as adaptation action choice/scenario for each sectors/fields.
The VA result shows that each of the sectors/fields had a wide range of climate risk variation, from low, moderate to high and spread to a number of Villages in the sub-districts, in Kendari City and South Konawe District. The VA projection analysis also shows the tendency of increasing high-risk area for both extent and distribution in this landscape. Therefore, climate change adaptation action is essential with involvement of multiple stakeholders to strengthen community resilience to climate change and disaster.